Mountain goat pen and ink drawing by Laura Friis.
Aging Experience,
Accuracy, & Precision

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Experience, Accuracy,
& Precision


Artist Laura Friis

Artist Nami Bittner

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Experience
Accuracy
Precision
Photomicrographs of record age animals

Aging Experience

Matson's experience level varies among different mammal species. We currently process approximately 80,000 teeth annually. The trend is a steady increase in the quantity of teeth processed annually. Last tabulated through December 2002, the count of teeth aged in our laboratory was 1,813,285 broken down by species as follows:

Species
1978 to
Dec 2002
Oldest
(yr)
to
Current
Date
From
Badger
738
19
Washington
Bear, black
241,841
35
Idaho
Bear, Brown (Grizzly)

28,842

38
British Columbia
Bison
2393
22
N Territories
Boar, wild
22
11
Spain
Bobcat
124,380
23
New Mexico
Caribou
30,354
22
Alaska
Coyote
12,807
15
Colorado
Deer, black-tailed
29,150
22
Oregon
Deer, mule
67,367
20
Washington
Deer, roe
698
   
Deer, sika
727
   
Deer, white-tailed
115,467
19
North Carolina
Deer, sika
727
18
Japan
Elk
101,658
25
Washington
Deer, red
20
Spain
Fox
14,904
-
-
Fox, gray
-
13
California
Fox, red
-
16
Sweden
Fox, silver
-
10
Labrador
Goat, mountain
18,355
18
British Columbia
Lion, mountain
22,303
22
Montana
Lynx
10,803
14
Newfoundland
Marten
38,946
16
Alaska
Mink
6,288
10
France
Moose
56,376
22
New Brunswick
Muskox
846
17
N Territories
Otter, river
13,166
17
Nova Scotia
Otter, sea
8,644
20
Alaska
Pronghorn
6,482
17
North Dakota
Raccoon
20,072
13
Oklahoma
Sheep, mountain
2,273
17
British Columbia
Skunk, striped
1,247
5
North Dakota
Weasel
372
3
Manitoba
Wolf
4,275
12
N Territories
Wolverine
2,072
13
N Territories
Other species
8,705
-
-


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Accuracy

To encourage continuing accuracy evaluation, Matson's processes all teeth from known age animals without charge, providing the results can be shared in our periodic reports. Although we continue to collect accuracy and precision data, a thorough tabluation has not been made since 1998. We expect new data to differ very little from those presented here.

Known age material is not available to fully evaluate accuracy in most species. Exceptions are Alaska Brown Bear and Rocky Mountain Elk.

Number
Sample
Aged correctly
Error
+ or - 1 yr
Error more
than 1 yr
Average
age
To end of 1996
77
Alaska Brn Bear
52
22
3
4
52
Rocky Mt Elk
51
1
0
4
477
Various 1975-95
331
103
24
--
606
to end 1996
434
126
27
--
1997
7
Montana mule deer
6
1
0
4
13
Montana elk
12
1
0
5
9
Illinois wt deer
9
0
0
1.7
3
Sea otter*
0
3
0
9
*Three were analyzed "blind" from the same known-age sea otter. The known age was 9 years. The cementum ages for the 3 teeth were 8A(8-9), 8A(8-9), and 10A(9-10).
1998
4
Montana elk
4
0
0
10
1
Montana mule deer
1
0
0
10
67
Michigan wt deer
50
16
1
4
10
Minnesota wt deer
9
1
0
4
6
Illinois wt deer
6
0
0
2

Species with the most distinct cementum annuli, occurring in the most regular pattern are expected to be the most accurately aged. An example of a species with distinct, regular annuli is the Rocky Mountain Elk. Bears have distinct annuli, but the pattern produced in successive years is irregular, complicating cementum aging. Mountain lion have the least distinct annuli of any species with which Matson's is experienced, and are expected to be the least accurately aged. The following groupings reflect expected cementum aging accuracy on the basis of cementum characteristics.

    • High accuracy (95%) = Annuli very distinct, pattern very regular
    • Moderate (80-90%) = Annuli and pattern somewhat distinct and regular
    • Low (70-75%) = Annuli indistinct, pattern irregular

    High accuracy Moderate Low
    Badger *Bear Mountain lion
    Fisher .Bison Sea otter
    Fox *Black-tailed deer  
    Goat *Bobcat  
    Lynx .Caribou  
      .Coyote  
      *Elk  
      .Marten  
      .Mink  
      .Moose  
      *Mule deer  
      .Muskox  
      .Pronghorn  
      .Raccoon  
      .River otter  
      .Sheep  
      .Skunk  
      .Weasel  
      *White-tailed deer  
      .Wolf  
     

    .Wolverine

     

     
    *Populations are variable, some having cementum annulus characteristics expected to yield high accuracy (e.g. Rocky Mountain Elk, northern deer populations) and others to yield moderate accuracy (southern and game farm fed whitetail deer, southwestern mule deer, coastal elk).

Note: Supplementally fed animals have cementum annuli that are characteristically more complex and irregular than wild populations. These characteristics may lower the reliability of age analysis. See additional information in the Accuracy section of Private Hunter, Outfitter, Hunting Club, & Game Farm Clients.

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Precision

To encourage continuing precision evaluation, Matson's encourages biologists to send "blind" duplicates (paired teeth from the same animal processed without the pairs being identified until after aging). We will process a number of blind duplicates up to 10% of the total sample size, not to exceed 50 teeth. For example, in a sample of 100 teeth 10 blind duplicates would be processed without charge. The resulting precision will be shared on this site and in other publications of the lab. We continue to collect precision data but have not comprehensively tabuated them since 1998. Ongoing evaluations show precision continuing at levels ovserved in the past.

In the absence of known age teeth, precision measurements using blind pairs provide useful information because differing results for a pair are proof of error. Clearly, however, results that agree for a pair are not proof of correctness. Results of precision tests with blind duplicates follow (note, from the groupings given above, that accuracy for these species is expected to be moderate or low because of cementum characteristics).

    Years
    Species
    n
    Agree
    +-1
    +-1+
    1991-95 Various
    414
    196
    149
    67
    1995-96 Mt lion
    72
    37
    25
    10
    1996 Mt lion
    6
    6
    0
    0
    1996 Wolf
    32
    21
    10
    1
    1996 Caribou
    14
    7
    6
    1
    1997 Black bear
    4
    4
    0
    0
    1997 Moose
    11
    7
    2
    2
    1997 Mt lion
    13
    7
    3
    3
    1998 Marten PM1
    95
    64
    25
    6
    1998 Moose
    51
    36
    8
    6
    1998 Grizzly
    24
    20
    2
    2
    1998 WT deer
    18
    12
    4
    2
    1998 Wolf
    6
    5
    1
    0
    1998 Caribou
    7
    6
    1
    0
    All -
    767
    428
    236
    100-


GENERAL CEMENTUM AGE ACCURACY/PRECISION STATEMENT

Cementum aging accuracy can be expected to vary not only among different species and populations, but also among individuals in the same population. However, the evidence cited above indicates that most species should be aged with an accuracy of 70%, and 90% within 1 year of the correct age. For species with accuracy expected to be low because of indistinct annuli and/or irregular pattern of annulus deposition, 50% should be aged correctly and 85% within 1 year of the correct age.

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Photomicrographs:

16 year old red fox. Submitted by J-O Helldin.

From J-O Helldin; Swedish red fox; aged 3-10-04 as 16A (15-17)

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    Photomicrograph of typical pronghorn. Potomicrograph of  record North Dakota pronghorn.

    Matson’s Lab recently processed and analyzed a North Dakota pronghorn tooth that is the oldest aged in this laboratory. The age of 17 years eclipsed the prior record of 15 years set by an Oregon pronghorn tooth and equaled by one from New Mexico. Most pronghorn harvested are younger than 5 years (photo at left). The record tooth on the right has a thick cementum layer, and not all the annuli are visible in the photo. The first annulus indicates the age of 2 years, because the tooth erupts at the age of 1. The first annulus is formed during the second winter of life. There are 16 annuli in the record tooth.

    From Jesse Kolar; North Dakota pronghorn; aged 4-7-05 as 17A (photo at right)

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Matson's Laboratory LLC
8140 Flagler Road
PO Box 308
Milltown MT 59851
Phone/Fax (406)258-6286 | Email: ittw@montana.com

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